{ "name": "triNetra Research Hub", "url": "https://trinetra.life/research-hub", "publisher": "triNetra Research", "author": "Shubham Agarwal, Founder and Chief Executive Officer, triNetra Research", "ssrnAuthorPage": "https://ssrn.com/author=12335668", "generated": "2026-09-25", "codeConvention": "PROGRAMME-YEAR-NN; NN is the hypothesis number", "programmes": [ { "id": "ead-research-programme", "code": "EAD", "name": "EAD Research Programme", "url": "https://trinetra.life/research-hub/ead-research-programme", "question": "How does dependence on externally owned AI infrastructure shape the survivability, governance and economics of independent businesses and institutions?", "summary": "The EAD Research Programme is a connected sequence of five working papers by triNetra Research on External AI Dependence. It covers the financial survivability of independent businesses (EAD-2026-01), why enterprises fail despite capable systems (EAD-2026-02), how asset ownership and infrastructure participation build resilience (EAD-2026-03), field evidence from AI builder communities (EAD-2026-04), and how AI hardware is accounted for (EAD-2026-05).", "startHere": "EAD-2026-01", "hypotheses": [ { "code": "EAD-2026-01", "number": 1, "title": "External AI Dependence and Startup Financial Survivability", "statement": "Examines how dependence on externally owned AI infrastructure is associated with independent-business survivability. The income-adjusted cost layer is roughly 12 to 20 percent of average annual formal income in India and Brazil, against about 1.5 percent in the United States.", "status": "Working Paper", "published": "2026-07", "pages": 16, "pdf": "https://trinetra.life/research/independent/Frameworks/EAD_Research_Programme/EAD-2026-01_External_AI_Dependence_and_Startup_Survivability.pdf", "citation": "Agarwal, S. (2026). External AI Dependence and Startup Financial Survivability. triNetra Research, EAD-2026-01." }, { "code": "EAD-2026-02", "number": 2, "title": "The Judgment Layer", "statement": "Proposes why large enterprises fail repeatedly despite sophisticated operational systems: the absence of a judgment layer that turns system outputs into documented reasoning at consequential decisions. Grounded in fifteen organisations and more than USD 80 billion in documented consequences.", "status": "Working Paper", "published": "2026-07", "pages": 40, "pdf": "https://trinetra.life/research/independent/Frameworks/EAD_Research_Programme/EAD-2026-02_The_Judgment_Layer.pdf", "citation": "Agarwal, S. (2026). The Judgment Layer. triNetra Research, EAD-2026-02." }, { "code": "EAD-2026-03", "number": 3, "title": "The Infrastructure Loop", "statement": "Asks what changes in the AI economy if Specialised Digital Asset revenue is directed back into infrastructure ownership and community knowledge transfer. Builds on EAD-2026-01.", "status": "Working Paper", "published": "2026-07", "pages": 11, "pdf": "https://trinetra.life/research/independent/Frameworks/EAD_Research_Programme/EAD-2026-03_The_Infrastructure_Loop.pdf", "citation": "Agarwal, S. (2026). The Infrastructure Loop. triNetra Research, EAD-2026-03." }, { "code": "EAD-2026-04", "number": 4, "title": "PaaF in the Field", "statement": "Applies PaaF to field observation of independent AI builder communities, June to July 2026. Eighteen observations across four layers point to one condition: no judgment layer at any level. The field evidence base for EAD-2026-01, 02 and 03.", "status": "Working Paper", "published": "2026-07", "pages": 33, "pdf": "https://trinetra.life/research/independent/Frameworks/EAD_Research_Programme/EAD-2026-04_PaaF_in_the_Field.pdf", "citation": "Agarwal, S. (2026). PaaF in the Field. triNetra Research, EAD-2026-04." }, { "code": "EAD-2026-05", "number": 5, "title": "The Effective Life Problem", "statement": "Argues AI hardware is mis-accounted as a single-use capital input: units stay functional after they stop being competitive for their original workload, then are resold, redeployed or recovered.", "status": "Working Paper, Version 2.0", "published": "2026-09", "pages": 20, "pdf": "https://trinetra.life/research/independent/Frameworks/EAD_Research_Programme/EAD-2026-05_The_Effective_Life_Problem.pdf", "citation": "Agarwal, S. (2026). The Effective Life Problem. triNetra Research, EAD-2026-05." } ] }, { "id": "india-quantum-strategy-research-programme", "code": "IQS", "name": "India Quantum Strategy Research Programme", "url": "https://trinetra.life/research-hub/india-quantum-strategy-research-programme", "question": "How can India build quantum and adjacent technology capability while reducing structural dependency and widening economic participation?", "summary": "The India Quantum Strategy Research Programme is a three-part study by triNetra Research of how India can build quantum and adjacent technology capability while reducing structural dependency. It covers how innovation converts into licensable IP (IQS-2026-01), whether modular open systems transfer beyond defence (IQS-2026-02), and which quantum strategy the economics support (IQS-2026-03).", "startHere": "IQS-2026-01", "hypotheses": [ { "code": "IQS-2026-01", "number": 1, "title": "National Innovation Conversion Index (NICI)", "statement": "Examines how India converted investment in government, academia and industry into licensable IP from 1900 to 2026, and finds the constraint is commercialisation rather than knowledge creation.", "status": "Structural Research Working Paper", "published": "2026-08", "pages": 12, "pdf": "https://trinetra.life/research/independent/Frameworks/India_Quantum_Strategy_Research_Programme/IQS-2026-01_National_Innovation_Conversion_Index.pdf", "citation": "Agarwal, S. (2026). National Innovation Conversion Index (NICI). triNetra Research, IQS-2026-01." }, { "code": "IQS-2026-02", "number": 2, "title": "Modular Open Systems Beyond Defence", "statement": "Asks whether the defence Modular Open Systems Approach transfers to civilian technology and, if so, whether it reduces concentrated dependency while widening participation by Indian firms, MSMEs and individuals.", "status": "Research Study", "published": "2026-08", "pages": 49, "pdf": "https://trinetra.life/research/independent/Frameworks/India_Quantum_Strategy_Research_Programme/IQS-2026-02_Modular_Open_Systems_Beyond_Defence.pdf", "citation": "Agarwal, S. (2026). Modular Open Systems Beyond Defence. triNetra Research, IQS-2026-02." }, { "code": "IQS-2026-03", "number": 3, "title": "India's Quantum Intelligence Strategy", "statement": "Tests an intelligence-led hybrid strategy against hardware-first, application-first and pure intelligence-first alternatives across capability, capital, talent and commercial opportunity. Hardware-first is modelled as capital-infeasible at current National Quantum Mission funding.", "status": "Final Edition", "published": "2026-08", "pages": 28, "pdf": "https://trinetra.life/research/independent/Frameworks/India_Quantum_Strategy_Research_Programme/IQS-2026-03_Indias_Quantum_Intelligence_Strategy.pdf", "citation": "Agarwal, S. (2026). India's Quantum Intelligence Strategy. triNetra Research, IQS-2026-03." } ] } ] }